Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina

Group B · Matchday 2

· SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles

Group B standings →Bracket →CH 100% · BA 100% to advance

Switzerland

59%

4–1

HT 0–0

Bosnia and Herzegovina

15%

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Goals (5)

74'

Johan Manzambi

Switzerland

84'

Rubén Vargas

assist: Breel Embolo

Switzerland

90'

Johan Manzambi

assist: Rubén Vargas

Switzerland

90'

E. Mahmic

Bosnia and Herzegovina

90'

G. Xhakapen

Switzerland

Cards (4)

59'

Amar Dedić

Bosnia and Herzegovina

61'

Edin Džeko

Bosnia and Herzegovina

65'

Nico Elvedi

Switzerland

80'

Tarik Muharemović

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Substitutions (10)

63'

↑ Ivan Bašić for Benjamin Tahirović

Bosnia and Herzegovina

64'

↑ Esmir Bajraktarević for Edin Džeko

Bosnia and Herzegovina

71'

↑ D. Sow for M. Aebischer

Switzerland

71'

↑ R. Vargas for F. Rieder

Switzerland

71'

↑ J. Manzambi for D. Ndoye

Switzerland

86'

↑ Luca Jaquez for Silvan Widmer

Switzerland

86'

↑ Jovo Lukić for Ermedin Demirović

Bosnia and Herzegovina

86'

↑ Amir Hadžiahmetović for Ivan Šunjić

Bosnia and Herzegovina

89'

↑ Cédric Itten for Breel Embolo

Switzerland

91'

↑ E. Mahmic for K. Alajbegovic

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Match stats

62%Possession38%

13Shots5

7Shots on target3

2.01Expected goals0.24

7Corners3

7Fouls18

3Offsides1

2Saves3

88%Pass accuracy81%

Top performer

Johan Manzambi

Switzerland · 2 goals

Lineups

Switzerland4-3-1-2

Bosnia and Herzegovina4-4-2

What's at stake

Matchday 2, Group B. The losing side here typically needs a Matchday 3 win plus favourable other-game results to advance.

Season form comparison

sample home 6 · away 4

1.67

Goals / match

1.25

1.00

Conceded / match

2.00

67%

BTTS rate

75%

33%

Clean sheet rate

1.18

xG / match (club)

2.44

5.4

Corners / match

5.1

1.9

Yellows / match

2.4

60%

Possession

51%

Switzerland · last 5

Bosnia and Herzegovina4-118 June WH

Bosnia and Herzegovina · last 4

Canada1-112 June LA

Switzerland4-118 June WH

Qatar3-124 June LA

United States2-02 July

Head to head · 1 meetings

Switzerland wins

Draws

Bosnia and Herzegovina wins

Last: Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina (2026-06-18)avg 5.0 goals

Absences

model swing: 0 / 0 pp

Switzerland

No known absences.

Bosnia and Herzegovina

No known absences.

Win probability

Pre-match

The chart fills in from kickoff. We compute live win probability every 30 seconds.

Updated every 30s. Lines smoothed.

The model's read

Medium confidence

Result: Switzerland are slight favourites at 59%, but it is far from settled.
Goals: A low-scoring game looks likely. Under 2.5 is favoured (56%).
Both score: Expect at least one clean sheet. Both-teams-score is just 43%.

Most likely score 1-0 (14%)

Why the model leans this way

Factor contributions

home←·→away

Rest days

-6.0%/+6.0%

Travel

-3.0%/0.0%

Club xG form

-2.3%/-1.8%

Two-model view

Second model api-football

Two models moderately agree

Switzerland

33%

Draw

33%

Bosnia and Herzegovina

33%

Their internal ratings (0-100)

50·

Form

·50

50·

Attack

·50

50·

Defence

·50

Their advice: No predictions available

Surfaced for transparency. We don't blend api-football's numbers into our model — a second opinion, not a vote.

Match analysis

Score-line probability

brighter = more likely

Switzerland goals

0123456

Bosnia and Herzegovina goals

Most likely: 1-0 14%, 2-0 13%, 1-1 12%. Outlined cells are draws.

Total goals

over 2.5 = 44%

Brighter bars are 3+ goals (over 2.5). Dashed line is the O/U 2.5 split.

Team comparison

SwitzerlandBosnia and Herzegovina

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Fair odds for every market

How to use this

Fair odds is the lowest price worth taking. It is where a bet breaks even. If your bookmaker offers a bigger number than the fair odds here, the model says that's value. Shop around: the same bet is often priced differently across books.

Match result

Home win59%1.70

Draw26%3.80

Away win15%6.76

Double chance

Home or draw85%1.17

Home or away74%1.36

Draw or away41%2.43

Draw no bet

Home (DNB)80%1.25

Away (DNB)20%4.98

Total goals

Over 0.590%1.11

Under 0.510%9.80

Over 1.571%1.40

Under 1.529%3.47

Over 2.544%2.28

Under 2.556%1.78

Over 3.523%4.39

Under 3.577%1.29

Over 4.510%10.03

Under 4.590%1.11

Odd / even goals

Odd47%2.14

Even53%1.88

Exact total goals

0 goals10%9.80

1 goals19%5.38

2 goals27%3.65

3 goals21%4.75

4 goals13%7.82

5 goals6%16.09

6+ goals4%26.66

Both teams to score

Yes43%2.31

No57%1.76

Team totals

Home over 0.582%1.22

Home over 1.551%1.96

Home over 2.525%4.06

Away over 0.551%1.96

Away over 1.516%6.20

Away over 2.54%27.69

Clean sheet

Home clean sheet49%2.05

Away clean sheet18%5.55

Win to nil

Home win to nil39%2.59

Away win to nil8%12.81

Asian handicap (home)

Home -2.516%6.33

Home -1.535%2.87

Home -0.560%1.67

Home +0.586%1.16

Home +1.596%1.04

Home +2.599%1.01

Correct score (top 8)

1-014%7.31

2-013%7.73

1-112%8.19

0-010%9.80

2-19%10.80

3-07%13.53

3-15%18.90

0-15%20.41

Half-time result

Home43%2.31

Draw42%2.36

Away14%6.99

Half-time goals

Over 0.567%1.50

Under 0.534%2.98

Over 1.530%3.35

Under 1.570%1.43

Half-time / full-time

Home/Home39%2.59

Home/Draw4%25.81

Home/Away1%124.65

Draw/Home20%4.92

Draw/Draw16%6.38

Draw/Away6%15.72

Away/Home2%42.80

Away/Draw4%25.81

Away/Away8%12.37

Corners (match total)

Indicative

Over 8.573%1.37

Under 8.527%3.68

Over 9.561%1.63

Under 9.539%2.58

Over 10.549%2.04

Under 10.551%1.96

Over 11.537%2.70

Under 11.563%1.59

Over 12.527%3.75

Under 12.573%1.36

Expected total: 10.6

CH corners

Indicative

Over 3.582%1.21

Under 3.518%5.71

Over 4.568%1.47

Under 4.532%3.12

Over 5.551%1.95

Under 5.549%2.05

Over 6.535%2.83

Under 6.565%1.55

Expected total: 5.8

BA corners

Indicative

Over 3.571%1.41

Under 3.529%3.46

Over 4.553%1.89

Under 4.547%2.13

Over 5.535%2.82

Under 5.565%1.55

Over 6.521%4.68

Under 6.579%1.27

Expected total: 4.8

Yellow cards (match total)

Indicative

Over 2.577%1.29

Under 2.523%4.42

Over 3.558%1.72

Under 3.542%2.40

Over 4.539%2.58

Under 4.561%1.63

Over 5.523%4.38

Under 5.577%1.30

Expected total: 4.1

CH anytime goalscorer

Indicative

very low sample (n=0)

H. Seferović (?)16%6.35

K. Mbabu (?)16%6.35

M. Gavranović (?)16%6.35

S. Lichtsteiner (?)16%6.35

Y. Sommer (?)16%6.35

T. Klose (?)16%6.35

M. Lang (?)16%6.35

R. Freuler (Midfielder)16%6.35

Expected total: 1.4

BA anytime goalscorer

Indicative

very low sample (n=0)

E. Džeko (Attacker)19%5.17

E. Bičakčić (?)7%14.47

B. Šerbečić (?)7%14.47

I. Hajrović (?)7%14.47

G. Cimirot (?)7%14.47

H. Hankič (?)7%14.47

M. Jajalo (?)7%14.47

Goran Zakarić (?)7%14.47

Expected total: 0.7

Probabilities and fair odds are derived from the model's full score-line distribution (expected goals: home 1.71, away 0.72). Half-time and HT/FT markets use a 45/55 first-half split. These are model estimates, not a betting guarantee.