Knockout Bracket
12/12 groups locked in. Real matchups below.
Round of 32
16/16 playedMatch 73
FT
South Africa0
Canada1Match 74
FT · pens
Germany1 (3)
Paraguay1 (4)Match 75
FT · pens
Netherlands1 (2)
Morocco1 (3)Match 76
FT
Brazil2
Japan1Match 77
FT
France3
Sweden0Match 78
FT
Ivory Coast1
Norway2Match 79
FT
Mexico2
Ecuador0Match 80
FT
England2
DR Congo1Match 81
FT
United States2
Bosnia and Herzegovina0Match 82
FT
Belgium3
Senegal2Match 83
FT
Portugal2
Croatia1Match 84
FT
Spain3
Austria0Match 85
FT
Switzerland2
Algeria0Match 86
FT
Argentina3
Cape Verde2Match 87
FT
Colombia1
Ghana0Match 88
FT · pens
Australia1 (2)
Egypt1 (4)Round of 16
8/8 playedQuarter-finals
4/4 playedSemi-finals
2/2 playedThird place
1/1 playedFinal
1/1 playedProjected (simulation). Remaining slots filled by the model.
Spain22%to lift itRound of 32
South Africa100%Canada100%Runners-up A v Runners-up B
Germany100%Paraguay100%Winners E v 3rd place
Netherlands100%Morocco100%Winners F v Runners-up C
Brazil100%Japan100%Winners C v Runners-up F
France100%Sweden100%Winners I v 3rd place
Ivory Coast100%Norway100%Runners-up E v Runners-up I
Mexico100%Ecuador100%Winners A v 3rd place
England100%DR Congo100%Winners L v 3rd place
United States100%Bosnia and Herzegovina100%Winners D v 3rd place
Belgium100%Senegal100%Winners G v 3rd place
Portugal100%Croatia100%Runners-up K v Runners-up L
Spain100%Austria100%Winners H v Runners-up J
Switzerland100%Algeria100%Winners B v 3rd place
Argentina100%Cape Verde100%Winners J v Runners-up H
Colombia100%Ghana100%Winners K v 3rd place
Australia100%Egypt100%Runners-up D v Runners-up G
Round of 16
France84%Germany74%Netherlands65%Canada60%Brazil71%Norway63%England77%Ecuador51%Spain87%Portugal68%Belgium71%United States65%Argentina81%Egypt50%Colombia77%Switzerland73%Quarter-finals
France61%Netherlands51%Spain59%Belgium56%England52%Brazil51%Argentina65%Colombia53%Semi-finals
Spain46%France44%Argentina46%Brazil32%Third place
France22%England15%Final
Spain33%Argentina31%A projection from 20,000 simulations: at each tie, the two teams most likely to get there, with their chance of reaching that round. Real matchups lock in as the groups finish. The favourite shown is the team that wins the final most often, so it always matches the title odds.