WC26

Predictor

Tournament

Tournament Awards All Matches Final Odds Knockout Bracket Group Tables

Tracking

Report Card Model Track Record Value Board Model Picks My Picks

Info

Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

Bracket Value board Acca builder How it works Track recordWC2026 Predictor

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Tournament

Final OddsHow the outright winner odds finished Group TablesFinal standings, all 12 groups Value BoardModel edge vs the market, graded

Picks & Tracking

Model PicksDaily auto-curated edge bets Track RecordEvery logged pick, settled My PicksYour own calls vs the model Report CardModel accuracy + calibration

About

How It WorksModel methodology

Awards Matches Report Record Bracket

Argentina

Group J

Argentina

Coach Lionel Scaloni · Rating 2143

The model's outlook

Win the group

99%+

Reach last 32

99%+

Reach last 16

81%

Reach quarters

65%

Reach semis

46%

Reach final

31%

Win the World Cup

18%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

Argentina

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

Cape Verde3-23 July WH

Egypt3-27 July WH

Switzerland3-112 July WA

England1-215 July LA

Spain1-019 July

Group J

Squad (8)

Attackers

N. González

N. González

Attacker · 27

52

Goals

21

Asts

Argentina's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

100% of paths

R16 81%

40% of paths

QF 65%

34% of paths

SF 46%

15% of paths

Final 31%

10% of paths

Round of 32

Cape Verde100%

Round of 16

Egypt40%
Australia40%

Quarter-final

Colombia34%
Switzerland21%
Algeria5%
Ghana5%

Semi-final

Brazil15%
England14%
Norway4%
Mexico4%
Ecuador4%

Final

Spain10%
France7%
Portugal4%
Belgium4%
Netherlands3%