WC26

Predictor

Tournament

Tournament Awards All Matches Final Odds Knockout Bracket Group Tables

Tracking

Report Card Model Track Record Value Board Model Picks My Picks

Info

Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

Bracket Value board Acca builder How it works Track recordWC2026 Predictor

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Tournament

Final OddsHow the outright winner odds finished Group TablesFinal standings, all 12 groups Value BoardModel edge vs the market, graded

Picks & Tracking

Model PicksDaily auto-curated edge bets Track RecordEvery logged pick, settled My PicksYour own calls vs the model Report CardModel accuracy + calibration

About

How It WorksModel methodology

Awards Matches Report Record Bracket

Germany

Group E

Germany

Coach Julian Nagelsmann · Rating 1989

The model's outlook

Win the group

99%+

Reach last 32

99%+

Reach last 16

74%

Reach quarters

28%

Reach semis

16%

Reach final

5%

Win the World Cup

2%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

Germany

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

Curacao7-114 June WH

Ivory Coast2-120 June LA

Ecuador2-125 June DH

Paraguay1-129 June

Group E

Ivory Coast3P6 3

Squad (14)

Midfielders

L. Goretzka

L. Goretzka

Midfielder · 30

53

Goals

48

Asts

Germany's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

100% of paths

R16 74%

63% of paths

QF 28%

15% of paths

SF 16%

8% of paths

Final 5%

2% of paths

Round of 32

Paraguay100%

Round of 16

France63%
Sweden11%

Quarter-final

Netherlands15%
Morocco7%
Canada4%
South Africa2%

Semi-final

Spain8%
Belgium3%
Portugal3%
United States1%
Croatia1%

Final

Argentina2%
Brazil1%
Colombia1%
England1%
Switzerland<1%