WC26

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Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

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Awards Matches Report Record Bracket

Ecuador

Group E

Ecuador

Coach Sebastian Beccacece · Rating 1843

The model's outlook

Win the group

<1%

Reach last 32

99%+

Reach last 16

51%

Reach quarters

19%

Reach semis

8%

Reach final

2%

Win the World Cup

1%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

Ecuador

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

Ivory Coast1-014 June DH

Curacao0-021 June WH

Germany2-125 June LA

Mexico2-01 July

Group E

Ivory Coast3P6 3

Squad (43)

Goalkeepers

G. Valle

G. Valle

Goalkeeper · 29

0

Goals

M. Ramírez

M. Ramírez

Goalkeeper · 25

0

Goals

Midfielders

J. Alcívar

J. Alcívar

Midfielder · 26

1

Goals

1

Asts

Attackers

J. Yeboah

J. Yeboah

Attacker · 25

18

Goals

8

Asts

Ecuador's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

100% of paths

R16 51%

39% of paths

QF 19%

10% of paths

SF 8%

4% of paths

Final 2%

1% of paths

Round of 32

Mexico100%

Round of 16

England39%
DR Congo12%

Quarter-final

Brazil10%
Norway4%
Japan3%
Ivory Coast2%

Semi-final

Argentina4%
Colombia2%
Switzerland1%
Egypt<1%
Australia<1%

Final

Spain1%
France1%
Portugal<1%
Belgium<1%
Netherlands<1%