WC26

Predictor

Tournament

Tournament Awards All Matches Final Odds Knockout Bracket Group Tables

Tracking

Report Card Model Track Record Value Board Model Picks My Picks

Info

Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

Bracket Value board Acca builder How it works Track recordWC2026 Predictor

More

Tournament

Final OddsHow the outright winner odds finished Group TablesFinal standings, all 12 groups Value BoardModel edge vs the market, graded

Picks & Tracking

Model PicksDaily auto-curated edge bets Track RecordEvery logged pick, settled My PicksYour own calls vs the model Report CardModel accuracy + calibration

About

How It WorksModel methodology

Awards Matches Report Record Bracket

England

Group L

England

Coach Thomas Tuchel · Rating 1916

The model's outlook

Win the group

99%+

Reach last 32

99%+

Reach last 16

77%

Reach quarters

52%

Reach semis

30%

Reach final

15%

Win the World Cup

6%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

England

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

DR Congo2-11 July WA

Mexico2-36 July WA

Norway1-211 July LH

Argentina1-215 July WA

France4-618 July

Group L

Squad (3)

Attackers

I. Toney

I. Toney

Attacker · 29

65

Goals

20

Asts

England's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

100% of paths

R16 77%

39% of paths

QF 52%

27% of paths

SF 30%

14% of paths

Final 15%

5% of paths

Round of 32

DR Congo100%

Round of 16

Ecuador39%
Mexico38%

Quarter-final

Brazil27%
Norway12%
Japan8%
Ivory Coast5%

Semi-final

Argentina14%
Colombia8%
Switzerland4%
Egypt1%
Australia1%

Final

Spain5%
France3%
Portugal2%
Belgium2%
Netherlands1%