South Korea vs Czechia
Group A · Matchday 1
· Estadio Akron, Guadalajara
Goals (3)
Cards (1)
Gi-Hyuk Lee
Substitutions (9)
↑ Hwang Hee-Chan for Lee Jae-Sung
↑ A. Hlozek for P. Sulc
↑ T. Chory for P. Schick
↑ M. Sadilek for L. Provod
↑ Oh Hyeon-Gyu for Son Heung-Min
↑ Eom Ji-Sung for Lee Tae-Seok
↑ Kim Jin-Gyu for Hwang In-Beom
↑ Park Jin-Seob for Paik Seung-Ho
↑ M. Chytil for A. Sojka
Match stats
Top performer
HIHwang In-Beom
South Korea · 1 goal
Lineups
South Korea3-4-2-1
What's at stake
Matchday 1, Group A opener. A win swings ~30 percentage points of qualification odds.
Season form comparison
sample home 3 · away 3
South Korea · last 3
Head to head · 1 meetings
1
South Korea wins
0
Draws
0
Czechia wins
Absences
model swing: 0 / 0 pp
South Korea
No known absences.
Czechia
No known absences.
Win probability
Pre-match
The chart fills in from kickoff. We compute live win probability every 30 seconds.
Updated every 30s. Lines smoothed.
The model's read
Wide-open matchResult: An open match. South Korea edge it at just 39%.
Goals: A low-scoring game looks likely. Under 2.5 is favoured (58%).
Why the model leans this way
Factor contributions
home←·→away
Two-model view
Second model api-football
Two-model consensusSouth Korea
33%
Draw
33%
Czechia
33%
Their internal ratings (0-100)
Their advice: No predictions available
Surfaced for transparency. We don't blend api-football's numbers into our model — a second opinion, not a vote.
Key players to watch
South Korea
Czechia
No per-90 data for this squad yet.
Per-90 stats: Rising Transfers (risingtransfers.com), CC BY 4.0
Match analysis
Score-line probability
brighter = more likely
Czechia goals
Most likely: 1-1 15%, 0-0 11%, 1-0 10%. Outlined cells are draws.
Total goals
over 2.5 = 42%
Brighter bars are 3+ goals (over 2.5). Dashed line is the O/U 2.5 split.
Team comparison
Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.
Fair odds for every market
How to use this
Fair odds is the lowest price worth taking. It is where a bet breaks even. If your bookmaker offers a bigger number than the fair odds here, the model says that's value. Shop around: the same bet is often priced differently across books.
Match result
Double chance
Draw no bet
Total goals
Odd / even goals
Exact total goals
Both teams to score
Team totals
Clean sheet
Win to nil
Asian handicap (home)
Correct score (top 8)
Half-time result
Half-time goals
Half-time / full-time
Corners (match total)
IndicativeExpected total: 12.3
KR corners
IndicativeExpected total: 6.7
CZ corners
IndicativeExpected total: 5.7
Yellow cards (match total)
IndicativeExpected total: 3.2
KR anytime goalscorer
Indicativevery low sample (n=0)
Expected total: 1.3
CZ anytime goalscorer
Indicativevery low sample (n=0)
Expected total: 0.8
Probabilities and fair odds are derived from the model's full score-line distribution (expected goals: home 1.26, away 1.08). Half-time and HT/FT markets use a 45/55 first-half split. These are model estimates, not a betting guarantee.