Jordan vs Algeria

Group J · Matchday 2

· Levi Stadium, Santa Clara

Group J standings →Bracket →JO 0% · DZ 100% to advance

Jordan

25%

1–2

Algeria

48%

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Goals (3)

36'

N. Al Rashdan

Jordan

69'

N. Benbouali

Algeria

82'

A. Gouiri

Algeria

Cards (2)

44'

R. Zerrouki

Algeria

64'

Husam Ali Mohammad Abudahab

Jordan

Substitutions (10)

46'

↑ N. Bentaleb for R. Zerrouki

Algeria

46'

↑ N. Benbouali for H. Boudaoui

Algeria

76'

↑ A. Hadj Moussa for R. Mahrez

Algeria

76'

↑ O. Al Fakhouri for M. Al Mardi

Jordan

84'

↑ A. Azaizeh for M. Tamari

Jordan

85'

↑ M. Abu Hasheesh for M. Abu Taha

Jordan

85'

↑ J. Hadjam for R. Ait-Nouri

Algeria

86'

↑ Z. Belaid for A. Gouiri

Algeria

92'

↑ Shararh for A. Olwan

Jordan

91'

↑ S. Obaid for H. Abu Dahab

Jordan

Match stats

28%Possession72%

8Shots17

4Shots on target8

0.65Expected goals1.81

1Corners9

10Fouls6

1Offsides0

6Saves3

72%Pass accuracy88%

Top performer

N. Al Rashdan

Jordan · 1 goal

Lineups

Jordan3-4-2-1

Algeria4-3-3

What's at stake

Matchday 2, Group J. The losing side here typically needs a Matchday 3 win plus favourable other-game results to advance.

Season form comparison

sample home 3 · away 4

1.00

Goals / match

1.25

2.67

Conceded / match

2.25

100%

BTTS rate

50%

Clean sheet rate

0.00

xG / match (club)

0.00

3.8

Corners / match

6.2

2.1

Yellows / match

2.3

42%

Possession

60%

Jordan · last 3

Austria3-117 June LH

Algeria1-223 June LH

Argentina1-328 June

Algeria · last 4

Argentina3-017 June WA

Jordan1-223 June DH

Austria3-328 June LA

Switzerland2-03 July

Head to head · 1 meetings

Jordan wins

Draws

Algeria wins

Last: Jordan 0-0 Algeria (2026-06-23)avg 0.0 goals

Absences

model swing: 0 / 0 pp

Jordan

No known absences.

Algeria

No known absences.

Win probability

Pre-match

The chart fills in from kickoff. We compute live win probability every 30 seconds.

Updated every 30s. Lines smoothed.

The model's read

Medium confidence

Result: Algeria are slight favourites at 48%, but it is far from settled.
Goals: Goals are a coin-flip around the 2.5 line (over 51%).

Most likely score 1-1 (13%)

Why the model leans this way

Factor contributions

home←·→away

Rest days

+6.0%/-6.0%

Club xG form

-0.3%/-1.7%

Set pieces

-0.6%/+0.5%

Two-model view

Second model api-football

Two models diverge

Jordan

45%

Draw

45%

Algeria

10%

Their internal ratings (0-100)

0·

Form

·0

100·

Attack

·0

50·

Defence

·50

Their advice: Double chance : Jordan or draw

Surfaced for transparency. We don't blend api-football's numbers into our model — a second opinion, not a vote.

Match analysis

Score-line probability

brighter = more likely

Jordan goals

0123456

Algeria goals

Most likely: 1-1 13%, 1-2 10%, 0-1 9%. Outlined cells are draws.

Total goals

over 2.5 = 51%

Brighter bars are 3+ goals (over 2.5). Dashed line is the O/U 2.5 split.

Team comparison

JordanAlgeria

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Fair odds for every market

How to use this

Fair odds is the lowest price worth taking. It is where a bet breaks even. If your bookmaker offers a bigger number than the fair odds here, the model says that's value. Shop around: the same bet is often priced differently across books.

Match result

Home win25%4.05

Draw28%3.60

Away win48%2.10

Double chance

Home or draw52%1.91

Home or away72%1.38

Draw or away75%1.33

Draw no bet

Home (DNB)34%2.93

Away (DNB)66%1.52

Total goals

Over 0.592%1.09

Under 0.58%12.28

Over 1.577%1.30

Under 1.523%4.33

Over 2.551%1.96

Under 2.549%2.04

Over 3.529%3.46

Under 3.571%1.41

Over 4.514%7.18

Under 4.586%1.16

Odd / even goals

Odd47%2.14

Even53%1.88

Exact total goals

0 goals8%12.28

1 goals15%6.70

2 goals26%3.86

3 goals22%4.53

4 goals15%6.67

5 goals8%12.29

6+ goals6%17.26

Both teams to score

Yes55%1.82

No45%2.22

Team totals

Home over 0.566%1.50

Home over 1.530%3.36

Home over 2.510%10.21

Away over 0.580%1.25

Away over 1.548%2.07

Away over 2.522%4.49

Clean sheet

Home clean sheet20%5.07

Away clean sheet34%2.98

Win to nil

Home win to nil12%8.63

Away win to nil25%3.94

Asian handicap (home)

Home -2.53%34.61

Home -1.510%10.25

Home -0.524%4.16

Home +0.552%1.93

Home +1.574%1.35

Home +2.589%1.12

Correct score (top 8)

1-113%7.54

1-210%10.50

0-19%10.85

0-29%11.47

0-08%12.28

2-16%15.61

1-06%17.53

2-25%19.23

Half-time result

Home22%4.55

Draw41%2.44

Away37%2.70

Half-time goals

Over 0.571%1.42

Under 0.529%3.39

Over 1.535%2.90

Under 1.565%1.53

Half-time / full-time

Home/Home14%6.95

Home/Draw5%20.34

Home/Away3%37.62

Draw/Home10%10.44

Draw/Draw15%6.73

Draw/Away17%6.03

Away/Home2%62.04

Away/Draw5%20.34

Away/Away30%3.28

Corners (match total)

Indicative

low sample (n=13)

Over 8.567%1.50

Under 8.533%3.02

Over 9.554%1.84

Under 9.546%2.19

Over 10.542%2.39

Under 10.558%1.72

Over 11.530%3.28

Under 11.570%1.44

Over 12.521%4.77

Under 12.579%1.27

Expected total: 10.0

JO corners

Indicative

low sample (n=13)

Over 3.559%1.70

Under 3.541%2.43

Over 4.539%2.55

Under 4.561%1.65

Over 5.523%4.30

Under 5.577%1.30

Over 6.512%8.16

Under 6.588%1.14

Expected total: 4.1

DZ corners

Indicative

Over 3.584%1.19

Under 3.516%6.24

Over 4.570%1.43

Under 4.530%3.35

Over 5.554%1.86

Under 5.546%2.17

Over 6.538%2.65

Under 6.562%1.61

Expected total: 5.9

Yellow cards (match total)

Indicative

low sample (n=13)

Over 2.579%1.27

Under 2.522%4.65

Over 3.560%1.67

Under 3.540%2.49

Over 4.540%2.48

Under 4.560%1.68

Over 5.524%4.15

Under 5.576%1.32

Expected total: 4.2

JO anytime goalscorer

Indicative

low sample (n=2)

Ali Olwan (Attacker)31%3.19

Mohammed Abu Zurayq (Attacker)28%3.58

Mahmoud Al Mardi (Attacker)28%3.58

O. Al Fakhouri (Attacker)28%3.58

A. Azaizeh (Attacker)28%3.58

Nizar Al Rashdan (Midfielder)12%8.47

Baha' Abdel-Rahman Suleiman (?)10%9.67

Amer Shafi' (?)10%9.67

Expected total: 2.0

DZ anytime goalscorer

Indicative

low sample (n=1)

A. Benbouali (Attacker)43%2.33

A. Boulbina (Attacker)39%2.59

F. Ghedjemis (Attacker)39%2.59

Y. Brahimi (?)15%6.68

I. Belfodil (?)15%6.68

Y. Atal (?)15%6.68

M. Belkhither (?)15%6.68

B. Bounedjah (?)15%6.68

Expected total: 2.3

Probabilities and fair odds are derived from the model's full score-line distribution (expected goals: home 1.09, away 1.62). Half-time and HT/FT markets use a 45/55 first-half split. These are model estimates, not a betting guarantee.