WC26

Predictor

Tournament

Tournament Awards All Matches Final Odds Knockout Bracket Group Tables

Tracking

Report Card Model Track Record Value Board Model Picks My Picks

Info

Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

Bracket Value board Acca builder How it works Track recordWC2026 Predictor

More

Tournament

Final OddsHow the outright winner odds finished Group TablesFinal standings, all 12 groups Value BoardModel edge vs the market, graded

Picks & Tracking

Model PicksDaily auto-curated edge bets Track RecordEvery logged pick, settled My PicksYour own calls vs the model Report CardModel accuracy + calibration

About

How It WorksModel methodology

Awards Matches Report Record Bracket

Austria

Group J

Austria

Coach Ralf Rangnick · Rating 1798

The model's outlook

Win the group

<1%

Reach last 32

99%+

Reach last 16

13%

Reach quarters

4%

Reach semis

1%

Reach final

<1%

Win the World Cup

<1%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

Austria

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

Jordan3-117 June LA

Argentina2-022 June DA

Algeria3-328 June LA

Group J

Squad (15)

Defenders

D. Alaba

D. Alaba

Defender · 33

20

Goals

35

Asts

Midfielders

X. Schlager

X. Schlager

Midfielder · 28

18

Goals

20

Asts

D. Ljubičić

D. Ljubičić

Midfielder · 26

15

Goals

10

Asts

F. Grillitsch

F. Grillitsch

Midfielder · 30

8

Goals

16

Asts

Austria's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

100% of paths

R16 13%

9% of paths

QF 4%

2% of paths

SF 1%

1% of paths

Final <1%

<1% of paths

Round of 32

Spain100%

Round of 16

Portugal9%
Croatia4%

Quarter-final

Belgium2%
United States1%
Senegal1%
Bosnia and Herzegovina<1%

Semi-final

France1%
Netherlands<1%
Germany<1%
Morocco<1%
Canada<1%

Final

Argentina<1%
Brazil<1%
Colombia<1%
England<1%
Switzerland<1%