WC26

Predictor

Tournament

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Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

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Team

Australia

Group D

Australia

Coach Tony Popovic · Rating 1716

The model's outlook

Win the group
<1%
Reach last 32
99%+
Reach last 16
50%
Reach quarters
13%
Reach semis
4%
Reach final
1%
Win the World Cup
<1%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

AttackDefenceRatingSet-pieceattackSet-piecedefence
Australia

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

WLDD
WHTurkey flagTurkey2-014 JuneLAUnited States flagUnited States2-019 JuneDAParaguay flagParaguay0-026 JuneDHEgypt flagEgypt1-13 July

Group D

1United States3P62Australia3P43Paraguay3P44Turkey3P3

Squad (44)

Goalkeepers

M. Ryan

M. Ryan

Goalkeeper · 33

0

Goals

1

Asts

Defenders

J. Geria

J. Geria

Defender · 32

4

Goals

5

Asts

Midfielders

A. Mabil

A. Mabil

Midfielder · 30

20

Goals

16

Asts

A. Hrustić

A. Hrustić

Midfielder · 29

13

Goals

11

Asts

Attackers

N. Velupillay

N. Velupillay

Attacker · 24

19

Goals

10

Asts

T. Yengi

T. Yengi

Attacker · 25

0

Goals

Australia's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

vs Egypt

100% of paths

R16 50%

vs Argentina

40% of paths

QF 13%

vs Colombia

7% of paths

SF 4%

vs England

1% of paths

Final 1%

vs Spain

<1% of paths

Round of 32

  • Egypt100%

Round of 16

  • Argentina40%
  • Cape Verde10%

Quarter-final

  • Colombia7%
  • Switzerland4%
  • Ghana1%
  • Algeria1%

Semi-final

  • England1%
  • Brazil1%
  • Norway<1%
  • Mexico<1%
  • Japan<1%

Final

  • Spain<1%
  • France<1%
  • Portugal<1%
  • Belgium<1%
  • Netherlands<1%