WC26

Predictor

Tournament

Tournament AwardsAll MatchesFinal OddsKnockout BracketGroup Tables

Tracking

Report CardModel Track RecordValue BoardModel PicksMy Picks

Info

How It Works

Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

BracketValue boardAcca builderHow it worksTrack recordWC2026 Predictor

More

Tournament

Final OddsHow the outright winner odds finishedGroup TablesFinal standings, all 12 groupsValue BoardModel edge vs the market, graded

Picks & Tracking

Model PicksDaily auto-curated edge betsTrack RecordEvery logged pick, settledMy PicksYour own calls vs the modelReport CardModel accuracy + calibration

About

How It WorksModel methodology
AwardsMatchesReportRecordBracket
Team

Brazil

Group C

Brazil

Coach Dorival Jr. · Rating 2083

The model's outlook

Win the group
99%+
Reach last 32
99%+
Reach last 16
71%
Reach quarters
51%
Reach semis
32%
Reach final
17%
Win the World Cup
8%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

AttackDefenceRatingSet-pieceattackSet-piecedefence
Brazil

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

DWWWL
DHMorocco flagMorocco1-113 JuneWHHaiti flagHaiti3-020 JuneWAScotland flagScotland0-324 JuneWHJapan flagJapan2-129 JuneLHNorway flagNorway1-25 July

Group C

1Brazil3P72Morocco3P73Scotland3P34Haiti3P0

Squad (12)

Defenders

Ibañez

Ibañez

Defender · 27

6

Goals

1

Asts

Brazil's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

vs Japan

100% of paths

R16 71%

vs Norway

45% of paths

QF 51%

vs England

27% of paths

SF 32%

vs Argentina

15% of paths

Final 17%

vs Spain

6% of paths

Round of 32

  • Japan100%

Round of 16

  • Norway45%
  • Ivory Coast26%

Quarter-final

  • England27%
  • Mexico10%
  • Ecuador10%
  • DR Congo4%

Semi-final

  • Argentina15%
  • Colombia9%
  • Switzerland4%
  • Australia1%
  • Egypt1%

Final

  • Spain6%
  • France4%
  • Portugal2%
  • Belgium2%
  • Netherlands2%