WC26

Predictor

Tournament

Tournament Awards All Matches Final Odds Knockout Bracket Group Tables

Tracking

Report Card Model Track Record Value Board Model Picks My Picks

Info

Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

Bracket Value board Acca builder How it works Track recordWC2026 Predictor

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Tournament

Final OddsHow the outright winner odds finished Group TablesFinal standings, all 12 groups Value BoardModel edge vs the market, graded

Picks & Tracking

Model PicksDaily auto-curated edge bets Track RecordEvery logged pick, settled My PicksYour own calls vs the model Report CardModel accuracy + calibration

About

How It WorksModel methodology

Awards Matches Report Record Bracket

Colombia

Group K

Colombia

Coach Nestor Lorenzo · Rating 1974

The model's outlook

Win the group

99%+

Reach last 32

99%+

Reach last 16

77%

Reach quarters

53%

Reach semis

26%

Reach final

15%

Win the World Cup

7%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

Colombia

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

Uzbekistan1-318 June WH

DR Congo1-024 June DH

Portugal0-027 June WH

Ghana1-04 July DA

Switzerland0-07 July

Group K

Squad (58)

Goalkeepers

D. Ospina

D. Ospina

Goalkeeper · 37

0

Goals

1

Asts

Attackers

J. Rodríguez

J. Rodríguez

Attacker · 34

47

Goals

55

Asts

J. Córdoba

J. Córdoba

Attacker · 32

33

Goals

11

Asts

Colombia's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

100% of paths

R16 77%

57% of paths

QF 53%

34% of paths

SF 26%

9% of paths

Final 15%

5% of paths

Round of 32

Ghana100%

Round of 16

Switzerland57%
Algeria21%

Quarter-final

Argentina34%
Australia7%
Egypt7%
Cape Verde4%

Semi-final

Brazil9%
England8%
Norway3%
Mexico2%
Ecuador2%

Final

Spain5%
France3%
Belgium2%
Portugal2%
Netherlands1%