WC26

Predictor

Tournament

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Tracking

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Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

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Tournament

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Picks & Tracking

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About

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Awards Matches Report Record Bracket

Spain

Group H

Spain

Coach Luis de la Fuente · Rating 2057

The model's outlook

Win the group

99%+

Reach last 32

99%+

Reach last 16

87%

Reach quarters

59%

Reach semis

46%

Reach final

33%

Win the World Cup

22%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

Spain

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

Austria3-02 July WA

Portugal0-16 July WH

Belgium2-110 July WA

France0-214 July WH

Argentina1-019 July

Group H

Cape Verde3P3 3

Saudi Arabia3P2

Squad (27)

Spain's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

100% of paths

R16 87%

59% of paths

QF 59%

33% of paths

SF 46%

20% of paths

Final 33%

10% of paths

Round of 32

Austria100%

Round of 16

Portugal59%
Croatia27%

Quarter-final

Belgium33%
United States11%
Senegal11%
Bosnia and Herzegovina4%

Semi-final

France20%
Netherlands11%
Germany8%
Morocco4%
Canada1%

Final

Argentina10%
Brazil6%
England5%
Colombia5%
Switzerland2%