WC26

Predictor

Tournament

Tournament Awards All Matches Final Odds Knockout Bracket Group Tables

Tracking

Report Card Model Track Record Value Board Model Picks My Picks

Info

Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

Bracket Value board Acca builder How it works Track recordWC2026 Predictor

More

Tournament

Final OddsHow the outright winner odds finished Group TablesFinal standings, all 12 groups Value BoardModel edge vs the market, graded

Picks & Tracking

Model PicksDaily auto-curated edge bets Track RecordEvery logged pick, settled My PicksYour own calls vs the model Report CardModel accuracy + calibration

About

How It WorksModel methodology

Awards Matches Report Record Bracket

Sweden

Group F

Sweden

Coach Jon Dahl Tomasson · Rating 1790

The model's outlook

Win the group

<1%

Reach last 32

99%+

Reach last 16

16%

Reach quarters

5%

Reach semis

2%

Reach final

<1%

Win the World Cup

<1%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

Sweden

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

Tunisia5-115 June LA

Netherlands5-120 June DA

Japan1-125 June LA

France3-030 June

Group F

Netherlands3P7 2

Squad (43)

Midfielders

A. Bernhardsson

A. Bernhardsson

Midfielder · 27

17

Goals

6

Asts

Sweden's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

100% of paths

R16 16%

11% of paths

QF 5%

3% of paths

SF 2%

1% of paths

Final <1%

<1% of paths

Round of 32

France100%

Round of 16

Germany11%
Paraguay4%

Quarter-final

Netherlands3%
Morocco1%
Canada1%
South Africa1%

Semi-final

Spain1%
Belgium<1%
Portugal<1%
Croatia<1%
United States<1%

Final

Argentina<1%
Brazil<1%
England<1%
Colombia<1%
Switzerland<1%