WC26

Predictor

Tournament

Tournament AwardsAll MatchesFinal OddsKnockout BracketGroup Tables

Tracking

Report CardModel Track RecordValue BoardModel PicksMy Picks

Info

How It Works

Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

BracketValue boardAcca builderHow it worksTrack recordWC2026 Predictor

More

Tournament

Final OddsHow the outright winner odds finishedGroup TablesFinal standings, all 12 groupsValue BoardModel edge vs the market, graded

Picks & Tracking

Model PicksDaily auto-curated edge betsTrack RecordEvery logged pick, settledMy PicksYour own calls vs the modelReport CardModel accuracy + calibration

About

How It WorksModel methodology
AwardsMatchesReportRecordBracket
Team

South Africa

Group A

South Africa

Coach Hugo Broos · Rating 1671

The model's outlook

Win the group
<1%
Reach last 32
99%+
Reach last 16
40%
Reach quarters
9%
Reach semis
1%
Reach final
<1%
Win the World Cup
<1%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

AttackDefenceRatingSet-pieceattackSet-piecedefence
South Africa

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

LDWL
LAMexico flagMexico2-011 JuneDACzechia flagCzechia1-118 JuneWHSouth Korea flagSouth Korea1-025 JuneLHCanada flagCanada0-128 June

Group A

1Mexico3P92South Africa3P43South Korea3P34Czechia3P1

Squad (155)

Goalkeepers

R. Goss

R. Goss

Goalkeeper · 31

0

Goals

R. Williams

R. Williams

Goalkeeper · 33

0

Goals

S. Chaine

S. Chaine

Goalkeeper · 29

0

Goals

Defenders

K. Mudau

K. Mudau

Defender · 30

1

Goals

A. Modiba

A. Modiba

Defender · 30

0

Goals

1

Asts

B. Cross

B. Cross

Defender · 24

0

Goals

I. Okon

I. Okon

Defender · 21

0

Goals

K. Ndamane

K. Ndamane

Defender · 21

0

Goals

N. Sibisi

N. Sibisi

Defender · 30

0

Goals

T. Matuludi

T. Matuludi

Defender · 26

0

Goals

Midfielders

T. Zwane

T. Zwane

Midfielder · 36

5

Goals

1

Asts

J. Adams

J. Adams

Midfielder · 24

1

Goals

T. Mbatha

T. Mbatha

Midfielder · 25

1

Goals

T. Mokoena

T. Mokoena

Midfielder · 28

No stats yet
T. Moremi

T. Moremi

Midfielder · 25

0

Goals

1

Asts

K. Sebelebele

K. Sebelebele

Midfielder · 23

0

Goals

Attackers

E. Makgopa

E. Makgopa

Attacker · 25

3

Goals

2

Asts

O. Appollis

O. Appollis

Attacker · 24

2

Goals

4

Asts

I. Rayners

I. Rayners

Attacker · 30

2

Goals

T. Maseko

T. Maseko

Attacker · 22

No stats yet

South Africa's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

vs Canada

100% of paths

R16 40%

vs Netherlands

26% of paths

QF 9%

vs France

5% of paths

SF 1%

vs Spain

1% of paths

Final <1%

vs Argentina

<1% of paths

Round of 32

  • Canada100%

Round of 16

  • Netherlands26%
  • Morocco14%

Quarter-final

  • France5%
  • Germany2%
  • Sweden1%
  • Paraguay1%

Semi-final

  • Spain1%
  • Portugal<1%
  • Belgium<1%
  • Senegal<1%
  • Croatia<1%

Final

  • Argentina<1%
  • Colombia<1%
  • Brazil<1%
  • England<1%
  • Japan<1%