Austria vs Jordan

Group J · Matchday 1

· Levi Stadium, Santa Clara

Group J standings →Bracket →AT 100% · JO 0% to advance

Austria

64%

3–1

HT 1–0

Jordan

13%

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Goals (4)

21'

R. Schmid

assist: X. Schlager

Austria

50'

A. Olwan

assist: N. Al Rawabdeh

Jordan

76'

Y. Al Arabog

Austria

90'

M. Arnautovicpen

Austria

Cards (1)

77'

Marcel Sabitzer

Austria

Substitutions (10)

46'

↑ M. Arnautovic for S. Kalajdzic

Austria

59'

↑ P. Wanner for P. Mwene

Austria

59'

↑ K. Danso for D. Alaba

Austria

59'

↑ C. Chukwuemeka for X. Schlager

Austria

72'

↑ S. Obaid for M. Abualnadi

Jordan

81'

↑ S. Al Rosan for A. Nasib

Jordan

81'

↑ M. Al Mardi for E. Haddad

Jordan

83'

↑ P. Wimmer for R. Schmid

Austria

88'

↑ M. Al Daoud for M. Tamari

Jordan

89'

↑ A. Azaizeh for O. Al Fakhouri

Jordan

Match stats

63%Possession37%

11Shots11

4Shots on target4

1.69Expected goals1.15

4Corners3

12Fouls7

3Offsides1

3Saves1

84%Pass accuracy73%

Top performer

R. Schmid

Austria · 1 goal

Lineups

Austria4-2-3-1

Jordan3-4-2-1

What's at stake

Matchday 1, Group J opener. A win swings ~30 percentage points of qualification odds.

Season form comparison

sample home 4 · away 3

1.50

Goals / match

1.00

2.25

Conceded / match

2.67

50%

BTTS rate

100%

Clean sheet rate

2.27

xG / match (club)

0.00

4.9

Corners / match

3.8

1.7

Yellows / match

2.1

59%

Possession

42%

Austria · last 4

Jordan3-117 June LA

Argentina2-022 June DA

Jordan · last 3

Head to head · 1 meetings

Austria wins

Draws

Jordan wins

Last: Austria 3-1 Jordan (2026-06-17)avg 4.0 goals

Absences

model swing: 0 / 0 pp

Austria

No known absences.

Jordan

No known absences.

Win probability

Pre-match

The chart fills in from kickoff. We compute live win probability every 30 seconds.

Updated every 30s. Lines smoothed.

The model's read

High confidence

Result: Austria are strong favourites at 64%.
Goals: Goals are a coin-flip around the 2.5 line (over 55%).

Most likely score 2-0 (12%)

Why the model leans this way

Factor contributions

home←·→away

Rest days

-6.0%/+6.0%

Club xG form

+1.4%/-1.4%

Two-model view

Second model api-football

Two models diverge

Austria

33%

Draw

33%

Jordan

33%

Their internal ratings (0-100)

0·

Form

·0

0·

Attack

·0

0·

Defence

·0

Their advice: No predictions available

Surfaced for transparency. We don't blend api-football's numbers into our model — a second opinion, not a vote.

Match analysis

Score-line probability

brighter = more likely

Austria goals

0123456

Jordan goals

Most likely: 2-0 12%, 1-1 11%, 1-0 10%. Outlined cells are draws.

Total goals

over 2.5 = 54%

Brighter bars are 3+ goals (over 2.5). Dashed line is the O/U 2.5 split.

Team comparison

AustriaJordan

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Fair odds for every market

How to use this

Fair odds is the lowest price worth taking. It is where a bet breaks even. If your bookmaker offers a bigger number than the fair odds here, the model says that's value. Shop around: the same bet is often priced differently across books.

Match result

Home win64%1.56

Draw22%4.47

Away win13%7.46

Double chance

Home or draw87%1.15

Home or away78%1.29

Draw or away36%2.79

Draw no bet

Home (DNB)83%1.21

Away (DNB)17%5.79

Total goals

Over 0.593%1.07

Under 0.57%14.69

Over 1.580%1.26

Under 1.520%4.88

Over 2.555%1.82

Under 2.545%2.22

Over 3.533%3.06

Under 3.567%1.49

Over 4.517%6.03

Under 4.583%1.20

Odd / even goals

Odd47%2.11

Even53%1.90

Exact total goals

0 goals7%14.69

1 goals14%7.32

2 goals24%4.09

3 goals22%4.47

4 goals16%6.20

5 goals9%10.75

6+ goals7%13.74

Both teams to score

Yes50%2.01

No50%1.99

Team totals

Home over 0.587%1.14

Home over 1.561%1.63

Home over 2.534%2.92

Away over 0.556%1.80

Away over 1.520%5.10

Away over 2.55%20.28

Clean sheet

Home clean sheet44%2.25

Away clean sheet13%7.94

Win to nil

Home win to nil38%2.66

Away win to nil6%17.29

Asian handicap (home)

Home -2.522%4.59

Home -1.542%2.38

Home -0.565%1.53

Home +0.588%1.14

Home +1.596%1.04

Home +2.599%1.01

Correct score (top 8)

2-012%8.34

1-111%9.41

1-010%9.66

2-110%10.26

3-08%12.08

0-07%14.69

3-17%14.85

4-04%23.31

Half-time result

Home48%2.06

Draw37%2.67

Away14%7.09

Half-time goals

Over 0.573%1.38

Under 0.527%3.66

Over 1.537%2.68

Under 1.563%1.59

Half-time / full-time

Home/Home44%2.29

Home/Draw4%26.00

Home/Away1%111.70

Draw/Home20%5.02

Draw/Draw12%8.27

Draw/Away5%18.44

Away/Home3%34.16

Away/Draw4%26.00

Away/Away7%13.65

Corners (match total)

Indicative

low sample (n=13)

Over 8.558%1.73

Under 8.542%2.37

Over 9.545%2.24

Under 9.555%1.81

Over 10.533%3.08

Under 10.567%1.48

Over 11.522%4.49

Under 11.578%1.29

Over 12.514%6.95

Under 12.586%1.17

Expected total: 9.3

AT corners

Indicative

Over 3.576%1.32

Under 3.524%4.08

Over 4.559%1.71

Under 4.541%2.41

Over 5.541%2.44

Under 5.559%1.69

Over 6.526%3.85

Under 6.574%1.35

Expected total: 5.2

JO corners

Indicative

low sample (n=13)

Over 3.559%1.70

Under 3.541%2.43

Over 4.539%2.55

Under 4.561%1.65

Over 5.523%4.30

Under 5.577%1.30

Over 6.512%8.16

Under 6.588%1.14

Expected total: 4.1

Yellow cards (match total)

Indicative

low sample (n=13)

Over 2.572%1.38

Under 2.528%3.64

Over 3.552%1.93

Under 3.548%2.08

Over 4.532%3.08

Under 4.568%1.48

Over 5.518%5.59

Under 5.582%1.22

Expected total: 3.8

AT anytime goalscorer

Indicative

very low sample (n=0)

G. Burgstaller (?)19%5.34

F. Grillitsch (Midfielder)19%5.34

J. Baumgartlinger (?)19%5.34

A. Ulmer (?)19%5.34

X. Schlager (Midfielder)19%5.34

S. Ilsanker (?)19%5.34

D. Ljubičić (Midfielder)19%5.34

M. Entrup (?)19%5.34

Expected total: 1.7

JO anytime goalscorer

Indicative

low sample (n=2)

Ali Olwan (Attacker)24%4.09

Mohammed Abu Zurayq (Attacker)22%4.62

Mahmoud Al Mardi (Attacker)22%4.62

O. Al Fakhouri (Attacker)22%4.62

A. Azaizeh (Attacker)22%4.62

Nizar Al Rashdan (Midfielder)9%11.20

Baha' Abdel-Rahman Suleiman (?)8%12.80

Amer Shafi' (?)8%12.80

Expected total: 1.5

Probabilities and fair odds are derived from the model's full score-line distribution (expected goals: home 2.07, away 0.81). Half-time and HT/FT markets use a 45/55 first-half split. These are model estimates, not a betting guarantee.