Ivory Coast vs Norway

Group null · Matchday 4

· AT&T Stadium, Dallas

Group standings →Bracket →CI 100% · NO 100% to advance

Ivory Coast

23%

1–2

Norway

48%

Share card

Goals (3)

39'

A. Nusa

Norway

74'

A. Diallo

Ivory Coast

86'

E. Haaland

Norway

Cards (1)

46'

A. Nusa

Norway

Substitutions (8)

60'

↑ A. Diallo for C. Inao Oulai

Ivory Coast

60'

↑ E. Wahi for A. Bonny

Ivory Coast

71'

↑ O. Bobb for A. Sorloth

Norway

71'

↑ A. Schjelderup for A. Nusa

Norway

83'

↑ F. Aursnes for M. Pedersen

Norway

87'

↑ O. Diakite for N. Pepe

Ivory Coast

93'

↑ B. Toure for G. Konan

Ivory Coast

93'

↑ E. Guessand for Y. Diomande

Ivory Coast

Match stats

46%Possession54%

12Shots9

4Shots on target4

1.11Expected goals2.02

12Corners3

6Fouls6

2Offsides2

1Saves3

85%Pass accuracy88%

Top performer

A. Nusa

Norway · 1 goal

Lineups

Ivory Coast4-1-4-1

Norway4-3-3

What's at stake

Knockout fixture, single elimination.

Season form comparison

sample home 4 · away 6

1.25

Goals / match

2.17

1.00

Conceded / match

1.83

50%

BTTS rate

100%

50%

Clean sheet rate

0.00

xG / match (club)

3.63

5.0

Corners / match

6.3

2.2

Yellows / match

1.2

55%

Possession

58%

Ivory Coast · last 4

Norway · last 5

Ivory Coast1-230 June WA

Brazil1-25 July LH

England1-211 July

Head to head · 1 meetings

Ivory Coast wins

Draws

Norway wins

Last: Ivory Coast 0-0 Norway (2026-06-30)avg 0.0 goals

Absences

model swing: 0 / 0 pp

Ivory Coast

No known absences.

Norway

No known absences.

Win probability

Pre-match

The chart fills in from kickoff. We compute live win probability every 30 seconds.

Updated every 30s. Lines smoothed.

The model's read

Medium confidence

Result: Norway are slight favourites at 48%, but it is far from settled.
Goals: Goals are a coin-flip around the 2.5 line (over 45%).

Most likely score 1-1 (14%)

Why the model leans this way

Factor contributions

home←·→away

Rest days

+6.0%/-6.0%

Club xG form

-5.3%/+5.0%

Set pieces

-0.6%/+0.8%

Travel

0.0%/-1.0%

Two-model view

Second model api-football

Two models diverge

Ivory Coast

45%

Draw

45%

Norway

10%

Their internal ratings (0-100)

50·

Form

·50

33·

Attack

·67

78·

Defence

·22

Their advice: Double chance : Ivory Coast or draw

Surfaced for transparency. We don't blend api-football's numbers into our model — a second opinion, not a vote.

Match analysis

Score-line probability

brighter = more likely

Ivory Coast goals

0123456

Norway goals

Most likely: 1-1 14%, 0-1 11%, 0-0 10%. Outlined cells are draws.

Total goals

over 2.5 = 45%

Brighter bars are 3+ goals (over 2.5). Dashed line is the O/U 2.5 split.

Team comparison

Ivory CoastNorway

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Fair odds for every market

How to use this

Fair odds is the lowest price worth taking. It is where a bet breaks even. If your bookmaker offers a bigger number than the fair odds here, the model says that's value. Shop around: the same bet is often priced differently across books.

Match result

Home win23%4.31

Draw29%3.45

Away win48%2.09

Double chance

Home or draw52%1.91

Home or away71%1.41

Draw or away77%1.30

Draw no bet

Home (DNB)33%3.06

Away (DNB)67%1.49

Total goals

Over 0.590%1.11

Under 0.510%10.11

Over 1.573%1.38

Under 1.527%3.65

Over 2.545%2.21

Under 2.555%1.83

Over 3.524%4.17

Under 3.576%1.32

Over 4.511%9.31

Under 4.589%1.12

Odd / even goals

Odd46%2.15

Even54%1.87

Exact total goals

0 goals10%10.11

1 goals17%5.72

2 goals27%3.66

3 goals21%4.69

4 goals13%7.53

5 goals7%15.14

6+ goals4%24.22

Both teams to score

Yes50%2.00

No50%2.00

Team totals

Home over 0.562%1.61

Home over 1.525%3.95

Home over 2.57%13.36

Away over 0.578%1.28

Away over 1.545%2.23

Away over 2.520%5.10

Clean sheet

Home clean sheet22%4.57

Away clean sheet38%2.64

Win to nil

Home win to nil12%8.33

Away win to nil28%3.57

Asian handicap (home)

Home -2.52%43.49

Home -1.59%11.75

Home -0.523%4.43

Home +0.552%1.94

Home +1.574%1.34

Home +2.590%1.11

Correct score (top 8)

1-114%7.24

0-111%9.08

0-010%10.11

0-210%10.44

1-29%10.77

1-06%15.48

2-16%16.86

0-35%20.63

Half-time result

Home20%4.89

Draw43%2.32

Away36%2.74

Half-time goals

Over 0.567%1.48

Under 0.533%3.07

Over 1.531%3.24

Under 1.569%1.45

Half-time / full-time

Home/Home13%7.48

Home/Draw5%21.24

Home/Away2%42.04

Draw/Home9%10.62

Draw/Draw16%6.09

Draw/Away17%5.79

Away/Home1%73.30

Away/Draw5%21.24

Away/Away30%3.29

Corners (match total)

Indicative

low sample (n=13)

Over 8.575%1.34

Under 8.525%3.93

Over 9.563%1.58

Under 9.537%2.72

Over 10.551%1.96

Under 10.549%2.04

Over 11.539%2.55

Under 11.561%1.64

Over 12.528%3.51

Under 12.572%1.40

Expected total: 10.8

CI corners

Indicative

low sample (n=13)

Over 3.574%1.36

Under 3.527%3.77

Over 4.556%1.79

Under 4.544%2.27

Over 5.538%2.60

Under 5.562%1.62

Over 6.524%4.20

Under 6.576%1.31

Expected total: 5.0

NO corners

Indicative

Over 3.583%1.21

Under 3.517%5.74

Over 4.568%1.47

Under 4.532%3.14

Over 5.551%1.94

Under 5.549%2.06

Over 6.535%2.82

Under 6.565%1.55

Expected total: 5.8

Yellow cards (match total)

Indicative

Over 2.568%1.47

Under 2.532%3.12

Over 3.546%2.16

Under 3.554%1.86

Over 4.527%3.64

Under 4.573%1.38

Over 5.514%7.01

Under 5.586%1.17

Expected total: 3.5

CI anytime goalscorer

Indicative

low sample (n=1)

F. Kessié (Midfielder)11%9.47

J. Aholou (?)9%10.82

R. Assalé (?)9%10.82

S. Doumbia (?)9%10.82

A. Cissé (?)9%10.82

Sylvain Gbohouo (?)9%10.82

B. Sangaré (?)9%10.82

W. Coulibaly (?)9%10.82

Expected total: 0.8

NO anytime goalscorer

Indicative

very low sample (n=0)

A. Hansen (?)14%7.10

Tore Reginiussen (?)14%7.10

Håvard Nordtveit (?)14%7.10

S. Johansen (?)14%7.10

R. Jarstein (?)14%7.10

O. Omoijuanfo (?)14%7.10

S. Rossbach (?)14%7.10

T. Lehne Olsen (?)14%7.10

Expected total: 1.2

Probabilities and fair odds are derived from the model's full score-line distribution (expected goals: home 0.97, away 1.52). Half-time and HT/FT markets use a 45/55 first-half split. These are model estimates, not a betting guarantee.