WC26

Predictor

Tournament

Tournament AwardsAll MatchesFinal OddsKnockout BracketGroup Tables

Tracking

Report CardModel Track RecordValue BoardModel PicksMy Picks

Info

How It Works

Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

BracketValue boardAcca builderHow it worksTrack recordWC2026 Predictor

More

Tournament

Final OddsHow the outright winner odds finishedGroup TablesFinal standings, all 12 groupsValue BoardModel edge vs the market, graded

Picks & Tracking

Model PicksDaily auto-curated edge betsTrack RecordEvery logged pick, settledMy PicksYour own calls vs the modelReport CardModel accuracy + calibration

About

How It WorksModel methodology
AwardsMatchesReportRecordBracket
Team

Canada

Group B

Canada

Coach Jesse Marsch · Rating 1700

The model's outlook

Win the group
<1%
Reach last 32
99%+
Reach last 16
60%
Reach quarters
15%
Reach semis
3%
Reach final
1%
Win the World Cup
<1%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

AttackDefenceRatingSet-pieceattackSet-piecedefence
Canada

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

DWLWL
DHBosnia and Herzegovina flagBosnia and Herzegovina1-112 JuneWHQatar flagQatar6-018 JuneLASwitzerland flagSwitzerland2-124 JuneWASouth Africa flagSouth Africa0-128 JuneLHMorocco flagMorocco0-34 July

Group B

1Switzerland3P72Canada3P43Bosnia and Herzegovina3P44Qatar3P1

Squad (14)

Goalkeepers

O. Goodman

O. Goodman

Goalkeeper · 22

0

Goals

Defenders

L. De Fougerolles

L. De Fougerolles

Defender · 20

0

Goals

Midfielders

N. Saliba

N. Saliba

Midfielder · 21

No stats yet
N. Sigur

N. Sigur

Midfielder · 22

0

Goals

Canada's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

vs South Africa

100% of paths

R16 60%

vs Netherlands

38% of paths

QF 15%

vs France

9% of paths

SF 3%

vs Spain

1% of paths

Final 1%

vs Argentina

<1% of paths

Round of 32

  • South Africa100%

Round of 16

  • Netherlands38%
  • Morocco21%

Quarter-final

  • France9%
  • Germany4%
  • Paraguay1%
  • Sweden1%

Semi-final

  • Spain1%
  • Belgium1%
  • Portugal1%
  • Croatia<1%
  • Senegal<1%

Final

  • Argentina<1%
  • Colombia<1%
  • Brazil<1%
  • England<1%
  • Norway<1%