WC26

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Tournament

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Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

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Tournament

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Awards Matches Report Record Bracket

France

Group I

France

Coach Didier Deschamps · Rating 2072

The model's outlook

Win the group

99%+

Reach last 32

99%+

Reach last 16

84%

Reach quarters

61%

Reach semis

44%

Reach final

22%

Win the World Cup

13%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

France

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

Sweden3-030 June WA

Paraguay0-14 July WH

Morocco2-09 July LH

Spain0-214 July LH

England4-618 July

Group I

Squad (11)

Goalkeepers

A. Lafont

A. Lafont

Goalkeeper · 26

0

Goals

Defenders

T. Hernández

T. Hernández

Defender · 28

35

Goals

42

Asts

Midfielders

H. Aouar

H. Aouar

Midfielder · 27

35

Goals

33

Asts

France's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

100% of paths

R16 84%

63% of paths

QF 61%

31% of paths

SF 44%

20% of paths

Final 22%

7% of paths

Round of 32

Sweden100%

Round of 16

Germany63%
Paraguay21%

Quarter-final

Netherlands31%
Morocco15%
Canada9%
South Africa5%

Semi-final

Spain20%
Belgium9%
Portugal9%
Croatia2%
Senegal2%

Final

Argentina7%
Brazil4%
Colombia3%
England3%
Switzerland1%