WC26

Predictor

Tournament

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Tracking

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Info

Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

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Tournament

Final OddsHow the outright winner odds finished Group TablesFinal standings, all 12 groups Value BoardModel edge vs the market, graded

Picks & Tracking

Model PicksDaily auto-curated edge bets Track RecordEvery logged pick, settled My PicksYour own calls vs the model Report CardModel accuracy + calibration

About

How It WorksModel methodology

Awards Matches Report Record Bracket

Croatia

Group L

Croatia

Coach Zlatko Dalic · Rating 1916

The model's outlook

Win the group

<1%

Reach last 32

99%+

Reach last 16

32%

Reach quarters

8%

Reach semis

4%

Reach final

2%

Win the World Cup

1%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

Croatia

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

England4-217 June WA

Panama0-123 June WH

Ghana2-127 June LA

Portugal2-12 July

Group L

Squad (28)

Goalkeepers

D. Livaković

D. Livaković

Goalkeeper · 31

0

Goals

Midfielders

L. Modrić

L. Modrić

Midfielder · 40

46

Goals

80

Asts

Croatia's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

100% of paths

R16 32%

27% of paths

QF 8%

5% of paths

SF 4%

2% of paths

Final 2%

1% of paths

Round of 32

Portugal100%

Round of 16

Spain27%
Austria4%

Quarter-final

Belgium5%
United States2%
Senegal2%
Bosnia and Herzegovina1%

Semi-final

France2%
Netherlands1%
Germany1%
Morocco<1%
Paraguay<1%

Final

Argentina1%
Colombia<1%
Brazil<1%
England<1%
Switzerland<1%