WC26

Predictor

Tournament

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Tracking

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Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

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Tournament

Final OddsHow the outright winner odds finished Group TablesFinal standings, all 12 groups Value BoardModel edge vs the market, graded

Picks & Tracking

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About

How It WorksModel methodology

Awards Matches Report Record Bracket

Belgium

Group G

Belgium

Coach Domenico Tedesco · Rating 1934

The model's outlook

Win the group

99%+

Reach last 32

99%+

Reach last 16

71%

Reach quarters

56%

Reach semis

21%

Reach final

11%

Win the World Cup

5%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

Belgium

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

Iran0-021 June WA

New Zealand1-527 June WH

Senegal3-21 July WA

United States1-47 July LA

Spain2-110 July

Group G

Squad (36)

Midfielders

A. Witsel

A. Witsel

Midfielder · 36

19

Goals

11

Asts

Belgium's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

100% of paths

R16 71%

vs United States

46% of paths

QF 56%

33% of paths

SF 21%

9% of paths

Final 11%

4% of paths

Round of 32

Senegal100%

Round of 16

United States46%
Bosnia and Herzegovina25%

Quarter-final

Spain33%
Portugal17%
Croatia5%
Austria2%

Semi-final

France9%
Netherlands5%
Germany3%
Morocco2%
Canada1%

Final

Argentina4%
Colombia2%
Brazil2%
England2%
Switzerland1%