WC26

Predictor

Tournament

Tournament AwardsAll MatchesFinal OddsKnockout BracketGroup Tables

Tracking

Report CardModel Track RecordValue BoardModel PicksMy Picks

Info

How It Works

Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

BracketValue boardAcca builderHow it worksTrack recordWC2026 Predictor

More

Tournament

Final OddsHow the outright winner odds finishedGroup TablesFinal standings, all 12 groupsValue BoardModel edge vs the market, graded

Picks & Tracking

Model PicksDaily auto-curated edge betsTrack RecordEvery logged pick, settledMy PicksYour own calls vs the modelReport CardModel accuracy + calibration

About

How It WorksModel methodology
AwardsMatchesReportRecordBracket
World Cup odds

Mexico

Group A

Mexico

Coach Javier Aguirre · Rating 1842

The model's outlook

Win the group
99%+
Reach last 32
99%+
Reach last 16
49%
Reach quarters
20%
Reach semis
9%
Reach final
3%
Win the World Cup
1%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

AttackDefenceRatingSet-pieceattackSet-piecedefence
Mexico

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

WWWWL
WHSouth Africa flagSouth Africa2-011 JuneWHSouth Korea flagSouth Korea1-019 JuneWACzechia flagCzechia0-325 JuneWHEcuador flagEcuador2-01 JulyLHEngland flagEngland2-36 July

Group A

1Mexico3P92South Africa3P43South Korea3P34Czechia3P1

Squad (30)

Goalkeepers

G. Ochoa

G. Ochoa

Goalkeeper · 40

0

Goals

1

Asts

Defenders

C. Montes

C. Montes

Defender · 28

11

Goals

8

Asts

Midfielders

C. Huerta

C. Huerta

Midfielder · 25

25

Goals

19

Asts

L. Chávez

L. Chávez

Midfielder · 29

19

Goals

15

Asts

J. Quiñones

J. Quiñones

Midfielder · 28

No stats yet

Mexico's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

vs Ecuador

100% of paths

R16 49%

vs England

38% of paths

QF 20%

vs Brazil

10% of paths

SF 9%

vs Argentina

4% of paths

Final 3%

vs Spain

1% of paths

Round of 32

  • Ecuador100%

Round of 16

  • England38%
  • DR Congo11%

Quarter-final

  • Brazil10%
  • Norway5%
  • Japan3%
  • Ivory Coast2%

Semi-final

  • Argentina4%
  • Colombia2%
  • Switzerland1%
  • Australia<1%
  • Egypt<1%

Final

  • Spain1%
  • France1%
  • Portugal<1%
  • Belgium<1%
  • Netherlands<1%