WC26

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Tournament

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Model estimates, not guarantees. A strong edge can still lose. For 18+ only. Bet only what you can afford to lose, and take a break if it stops being fun.

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About

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Awards Matches Report Record Bracket

Netherlands

Group F

Netherlands

Coach Ronald Koeman · Rating 1981

The model's outlook

Win the group

99%+

Reach last 32

99%+

Reach last 16

65%

Reach quarters

51%

Reach semis

23%

Reach final

8%

Win the World Cup

4%

Chance of still being alive at each stage, across 20,000 tournament simulations.

Team strengths

Netherlands

Percentile vs all 48 teams. Further out is stronger.

Recent form

Japan2-214 June WH

Sweden5-120 June WA

Tunisia1-325 June DH

Morocco1-130 June

Group F

Netherlands3P7 2

Squad (2)

Defenders

L. Geertruida

L. Geertruida

Defender · 24

19

Goals

9

Asts

Netherlands's knockout path

across 20k sims

R32 100%

100% of paths

R16 65%

38% of paths

QF 51%

31% of paths

SF 23%

11% of paths

Final 8%

3% of paths

Round of 32

Morocco100%

Round of 16

Canada38%
South Africa26%

Quarter-final

France31%
Germany15%
Paraguay3%
Sweden3%

Semi-final

Spain11%
Belgium5%
Portugal4%
Croatia1%
Senegal1%

Final

Argentina3%
Brazil2%
England1%
Colombia1%
Norway<1%